60,000 Droids a Day Keep the Apple Away

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Right now it seems every company wants to build an iPhone app. Yet given that 60,000 Android phones ship every day, one has to wonder how much longer Apple will have a lock on shiny object syndrome du jour (image by Andrew Mason).

That’s roughly 5.4 million a quarter, and the numbers continue accelerating to rivalingl iPhone shipments. Android shipments will only continue increasing as we see more devices hit the market. Further, globally carriers have now come to recognize Google Android’s presence as a tour de force.

Rather than open up it’s operating system, or allow manufacturers to license the Apple OS, or even releasing a new phone, Apple seems to be relying on reactive techniques. The word Android has been banned from applications being developed for the iTunes store.

Whether or not a mobile application fits into your strategy is one thing. A second evaluation critique for communicators now must include platform.

Unless Apple does something drastic quickly, it’s likely to find itself second in smartphone OS shipments by year end. That means Android applications will become the hot platform. Given the saturation of applications (more than 100,000) that are already in the Apple store, Android may be a quick way to generate mobile traction by being first. At least in the near term.

 

Google’s Great Buzz Gamble

In 1944, the ABC — comprised of the remnants of the NBC blue network — launched to compete with NBC (Red) and CBS. Last week marked the very loud and controversial launch of Buzz to more than 175 million Gmail users. After almost a week to digest the launch, I’m starting to think Buzz is Facebook and Twitter’s ABC.

At first glance, I wanted nothing to do with Buzz and literally turned it off. The increased amount of bacon (social network email, akin to, but not quite spam) simply disturbed me. Then there were the incredible privacy issues. The overall intrusiveness and Google’s audacity to force a severely flawed opt-out service on me was really annoying.

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What changed my mind? A) Consider the incredible impact Buzz made right out of the gate. You need look no further than the above screen capture which shows my Mashable column from Friday. Buzz links outpace Facebook links.

B) Google responded quickly to privacy concerns and changed Buzz within 72 hours. The latter demonstrated to me how serious Google is about making Buzz work. Google wants the pageviews from a major social network… It’s about advertising, folks. And while some say search is Google’s core competency, I’d argue it’s Internet advertising.

Statistics reflect the changed opinion. A new major social network has been born… As much as I could do without it personally, I cannot afford to ignore Buzz.

How Will Buzz Impact the Market?

Is Buzz for real? Yes, there’s little doubt. But none of us, not even Google, knows how this will play out. Here are a five points that I am watching closely.

1) How will Buzz impact the social network landscape? Like Jason Falls, I don’t see Buzz as a Facebook or Twitter (or MySpace) killer. Competitor, yes. However, there are so many people using social networks, in my opinion I think this will simply compete for share not kill one or the other.

Each major network has functional strengths and weakness, which will cause some people to migrate to one network or another. One thing I don’t see is use across all three. People are getting social network fatigue, and carving out more time for a social network isn’t likely.

2) How many Gmail users will bail on Google? To create the mass network capable of competing with Facebook and Twitter out of the gate, Google made all of its 175 million Gmail accounts Buzz users. Further, even upon initial complaints, Google will not decouple the two. It’s an opt-out privacy afront for many.

While it’s inevitable that some Gmail users will love Buzz, others will say no, and some will leave Google service altogether. As Corey O’Brien said on this Buzz Post, “Google forced Buzz upon mainstream users, who aren’t as willing to put up with the ‘growing pains’ that early adopters are.” We’ll see how much Google cannibalized itself.

3) What will happen when the apps come? We’re talking about a one week old social network making this kind of impact. But what will happen when the Seesmics, mobile apps, and all of the other clients come to play? Traffic will increase. Dramatically.

4) How will the mobile factor play out? One of Google’s other major plays in 2010 is the mobile Android OS, which is battling the iPhone for Internet smart phone market share. It’s no coincidence that Buzz has location based mobile functionality integrated into its functionality from the get-go.

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With GPS location and mobile client searches that let you see what’s happening locally, Buzz instantly differentiates itself from Facebook and Twitter. And that’s going to create a mass social network that caters to the fifty-five percent of Americans that connect to the Internet wirelessly (Pew Internet & American Life Project).

Which brings to mind the increasingly powerful mobile social network FourSquare. Specifically, does it move from an attractive, fun app for your phone to a must purchase for Facebook or Twitter? Whatever happens, Facebook and Twitter mobile functionality will need to increase to stay competitive.

What are your thoughts on Buzz? Or if you’d like, let’s find out together. Here’s my Google profile address.

 

Get Mobile Now

This morning I am speaking at the first ever Social Media Breakfast in Washington, DC. The featured topic is, “What trends or predictions do you believe will prevail? How can we be visionaries in a space as dynamic as social media?” The answer? Get mobile now.

From the incredible outpouring of donations for Haiti to the ongoing Android/Apple wars, this is the year of mobile. Fifty-five percent of Americans connect to the Internet wirelessly, says the Pew Internet & American Life Project. If you want to be a visionary, a leader in this space, then own mobile media.

In my mind, we’re at a similar place of adoption as social media in 2006 or 2007. Rather than trying to establish visionary leadership in an overcrowded market, it makes sense to become a master of this next generation of portable Internet media. It’s much easier to lead in a greenfield space than to overcome very strong leaders in the existing social media marketplace.

This means more than the iPhone, too. Intelligence in this market requires understanding the market dynamics between Android (see my review here), Apple and Blackberry, as well as the four major carriers in the United States and their network technology. If you are outside of the United States, you’d better understand Symbian, too.

It means understanding what makes a great application from the end user’s point of view (as opposed to publishing junk for the sake of appearing cool). Owning this space necessitates understanding which platforms to build applications on, too, and why (See our post on the topic last summer). You have to be up to date on the latest, and be willing to experiment on your own — without paying clients.

Start this week with the anticipated Apple tabloid and iPhone announcements and don’t look back. Keep abreast of the latest mobile news, own it, lead in it, then share what you learned. That’s how to become an Internet visionary in 2010.

 

10 Years From Now – A Look Back

Again this year, I got links to dozens of those inevitable posts that come up at the beginning and end of a year. All this got me to thinking about both inevitability about wishes for the future. An email from a friend came also, remindin me of a whole list of things that weren’t around in the olden days (cell phones, polio vaccine, etc.), and it turned out that the “olden” days included the early span of my life – providing even more cause to reflect about just where all of this is going, particularly when it comes to communications.

As colleague Geoff Livingston said in Now is Gone, “Communications have evolved more in the last 10 years than in the previous 100.” And, for those of us toiling in the consulting business at CRT/tanaka who are focused on such things, the next ten years hold some pretty awesome promise for the practice of public relations.

First off, there is no loftier publication on the the planet than The Economist, and it’s covering public relations.  The Economist gives PR a good start on the coming year and decade with its declaration  “Good News: Other firms’ suffering has bolstered the public relations Business.” Aside from being amused by “good news” and “suffering” in such proximity, I was impressed by the number of trends that seem to add up in our favor.

While Richard Edelman’s description of PR as the “organising principle” behind many business decisions is a point of view that might be more an aspirational goal for a PR firm exec, there are a number of opportunities on our next-10-year horizon that do seem attainable and desirable.

First, there’s the thorny issue of reputation. What used to be thought of as “reputation management” must become a more sincere effort to engage with dozens of stakeholders in any enterprise and incorporate lots of their thinking into the direction of the organization. This opportunity is especially applicable for business, and my 10-year crystal ball says it will also affect politics in the period. We simply cannot continue to have Republicans and Democrats treat the running of a great country as just a power tilt between two parties any more than we can have irresponsible lending drive us into another economic ditch. People are rebelling and will continue to do so. Public relations plays an important role in guiding organizations to do the right things.

The second big dynamic that caught my eye in The Economist was described as “the withering of many traditional media outlets.”  That makes PR “doubly important,” by its ability to bypass such old media and through its capability of engaging new media. There is no set of people on the planet better situated than public relations professionals to take advantage of this evolution in media, but there are some important warning signs to heed.

 Brian Solis provided some insight into just what it’s going to take to play in his post this week: “The Ten Stages of Social Media Business Integration.” I would add that not only do public relations professionals need to rise to such strategic ambitions, but also must continue to learn and knit together the techniques and tools required to operate. Everything from clouds to mobile marketing to bio-interfaces will blur the communications lines and may even challenge our ethics related to privacy, intrusive marketing and human-computer interactions. Take a look at scientist-gone-to-the-policy-dark-side thinker Andrew Maynard to get a glimpse of what the world of science may throw our way in terms of new ideas in the next 10 years.

Finally, a wonderful absurdity was served up in the closing paragraphy of the article in The Economist. Reflecting on the likelihood of more regulation on the heels of recent attempts by the Federal Trade Commission in the United States to shine more light on the endorsers of products and services (The Buzz Bin, December 11, 2009), the reporter noted, “After all, companies that fall foul of the rules will need the help of a PR firm.”

Here’s to a successful and prosperous (for all the right reasons) decade!

 

Social Media To The Rescue

With all the buzz over the earthquakes in Haiti it seems that real time search combined with social networks are making strides in the relief efforts. Yesterday evening I watched traditional media coverage of the large search and rescue operations on standby while online Twitter and Facebook covered the efforts and situation that were happening on location.

According to Google the number of blogs covering the Haiti crisis:

Google Trends shows how quickly the search has become a hot topic:

It’s not a matter of who is the journalist or news anchor in the case of social media, concern over ownership of retweets or information privacy is out the window. In the case of crisis the network moves the news in order to expand the communal concern rather than respond to ratings.

Recently, an interesting thought was raised about how Social Media has become the news to Traditional Media. In comparison to being a reactionary channel for branding I think involvement in social media has a way to push communication past a professional news pitch to something that hits closer to home. In the case of Haiti news, almost instantly there were charitable actions being shared through the community.

There is great potential for new tools to help maintain the momentum by showing where the money that is being donated is being used to enrich the community. So when the dust settles where will that leave efforts in Haiti? Does Social Media have the ability to extend past the flash of the news to create a sustainable relief effort? If it is to be successful there needs to be a connection past generating the buzz and awareness to continuing the action of support. The ability to store the data from the buzz even has potential to help with generating action plans for the future.

 

AppMakr Makes iPhone Apps Acce$$ible

by Geoff Livingston

Every smart internet marketer and company wants to deploy mobile apps, starting with that hot and shiny iPhone app. Yet the cost of developing iPhone applications (as well as applications for the Blackberry and Android platforms) can be cost prohibitive. AppMakr changed the iPhone application paradigm today with the launch of its $200 development service.

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Along with prominent bloggers Seth Godin, Guy Kawasaki, Robert Scoble and Jeff Jarvis, I was given a free whirl on the AppMakr service. The resulting application is the Greenversation app, which gathers the latest posts from my favorite environmental information resources. I originally compiled the list for a Live Earth/Blog Action day post last fall. You can download the Greenversation app from the iTunes store now.

A few thoughts on this groundbreaking service. It definitely democratizes iPhone apps, and makes them accessible to every person. Of course to do it cheap — like a free blog on the Blogger or WordPress service — you have to publish under the AppMakr name. Owning your application costs a little more ($499), similar to developing a blog on your own hosting service.

Like other social media content platforms, development is pretty easy for the none iPhone savvy. Users enter a website URL or keywords and AppMakr will create a sample iPhone app built from that content. Users can then customize the iPhone application by:

  • Adding content feeds, including Twitter, RSS, iTunes podcast, Flickr, YouTube, Blogger, mp4, and others
  • Changing the app’s branding, including the icon, splash screen, tab icons, header image, and text colors
  • Monetizing the app by charging for it on iTunes, or by adding ads from AdMob, Medialets, DoubleClick and Google AdSense

By no means does this replace a full-on application developed with a specific organizational purpose. But it is an extremely cost effective way to make sure your brand’s content is easily accessible to iPhone users without redeveloping everything for the platform. In that sense, I think the AppMakr service is a no brainer for most small companies and nonprofits.

If you are interested in trying out AppMakr and want to do it for just $50, here’s your chance. The service has a special launch offer for Buzz Bin readers. Here are the details:

  • Coupon name – LIVINGSTON
  • Coupon amount – $150 off the $199 price of making an app
  • Coupon valid through – 1/18/10
 

Don’t Think – Live Your Questions

I am the ultimate perpetual kid, fascinated by how things work and known to take anything apart especially if it isn’t broken (yet). If you’ve followed my posts in the past, you know that I am obsessed with the concept of search. Thankfully, I’m not the only one. Apparently the engineers at Google are dedicated to bringing new features to the table for the Google product line. This week they announced two fascinating new features.

Google launched the Real Time Search service enabling users to discover breaking news the moment it’s happening by animating new results into the search results. Using the trends page you can now see what’s hot and watch the results flow in.

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It seems they cut their teeth on Google Wave, a viable product with virtually no delay between composition and publishing to a specified group. Now, they are able to provide search results in the same fashion, but rather than control the entry and consumption points, they bridge the delivery gap between “publishers” and “content consumer”.

Initially, in contrast to what some users are demanding for real time results, I feel that the results seem to be watered down. Mixing tweets with blog posts, dilutes the content over brevity. Each has a unique purpose and the combination of both in my opinion hurts the full story because of how the typical web user absorbs information. In crisis management, since timing is everything. Has Google made a mess of things pushing the responsible message out of conscience when a topic is trending and further responses or thoughts are possibly negative to the brand?

While I have hesitation over the display of content in the real time search, I think Google has done well to provide relevance to the search query. By providing a way for users to turn on/off the real time feature, it allows for easier consumption as well as shows the commitment to usability that Google is known for.

The second feature was announced this week when Google hinted at their new Google Goggles project with flair typically reserved for Steve Jobs.

We have also made some new strides with mobile search. Today’s sensor-rich smartphones are redefining what “query” means. Beyond text, you can now search by a number of new modes including voice, location and sight — all from a mobile device. So we’ve been working to improve technology that takes advantage of these capabilities.
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This is the one I am really excited over. While the focus has been towards the mobile web, no one has really pushed the boundaries of a “real-time” mobile web. Apps like Shazam, SnapTell and Evernote are wildly popular because they allow the mobile user to search in other ways besides text and finger inputs. Even with the new Nuance Dragon Dictation app taking it a step further with voice, Google trumps the deck by allowing search by life-streaming. Fire up your mobile camera – and query. Real time search by voice, location and sight.

So what’s the next step? Combining Latitude, 411, and Goggles services into real time search by mobile device – the ability to life cast and query became a reality. The real question becomes what impact does your message (brand or personal) suffer or succeed by real time influences.

 

Mobile Is All About Community

By Wyatt Wood

It’s no surprise that mobile web use is increasing with records sales for iphone and the buzz surrounding the upcoming Motorola Droid smartphone. Taking this increase into consideration should be part of any current interactive/social strategy. With more than 60 million page views from mobile devices Wordpress.com took notice and provided mobile template options for its bloggers.

This really shows how mobile devices are becoming the next entrance into the cloud. It’s pretty easy to see how the simplistic interface is geared for searching and quick delivery of information. The medium is perfect for engaging users on the move but I’m not satisfied that it’s good at retaining the average user long term.

Mobile location services such as Loopt are attempting to tackle this problem by providing behind the scenes (always on) monitoring and updates. I see this taking lifecasting to a new level of information sharing. Combined with SenseCam, which reportedly can hold 30,000 images on its internal memory, the possibility of having a device or service that can track and broadcast your movements has major implications.

Given my own usage of services like Foursquare, Latitude, Brightkite and other mobile/location aware services I think location broadcasting is a great idea. Especially coupled with a sense of competition to become recognized as a “regular” I think helps combat boredom with a service. But what’s next for the interactive mobile user? It’s not always about gaming or entertainment – given the trends I think it is clear that community is emerging point of mobile devices.

 

FourSquare Makes Its Move

blogpotomac_rgbweb.jpg One of the three main topic areas of the Final BlogPotomac this October 23 is the evolving mobile web. I recently had the great pleasure of interviewing with Valeria Maltoni, and the uber hot GPS based social FourSquare came up. In my mind, FourSuare is the epitome of the future, mobile social web. From the interview:

[Four Square is] a location based social network that lets you tell your friends what restaurants, clubs and other sites you are visiting. Unlike its larger competitors BrightKite and Loopt, it seems to have caught fire here in the U.S. and is providing a Yelp-like referral to what the hot spots are.

Further, it recommends places based on which ones are most frequented. This is particularly helpful for travelers who are not in their native local network.

If I was a local business, I would see Four Square as the ideal type of mobile word of mouth. How can I get people to say they visited my place of business on Four Square? This is the Holy Grail of location-based mobile marketing, and creating applications and intelligent ways to get people to use their mobile phone in reference to your business while they are there is just smart marketing.

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FourSquare is smart in that it not only lets people check in, but it also rewards them for frequenting certain places. Loyal customers feel a sense of pride at being dubbed the Mayor of their favorite restaurant or haunt. In fact, you often see people lauding their Mayoral status on Twitter or Facebook.

If you maintain a physical public place, it’s impossible to pay for this kind of mouth! But you can encourage it, say by providing free drinks or goods to your mayor.

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Most importantly, from an adoption standpoint, FourSquare just released its Google Android app, and has Blackberry and Windows apps in development. Complimenting the iPhone app is smart, as it fosters interoperability between disparate operating systems and positions FourSquare to dominate the mobile location social network market. The company is also trialling in a few dozen cities, but is planning wider crowdsourced expansion in the near future.

It’ll be interesting to watch this hot mobile network as it develops. I’m looking forward to more mobile, local and social conversations at the Final BlogPotomac, too.

Here are some additional Tweets on FourSquare:

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Why Deploy an iPhone App?

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This weekend, Washington, DC area internet developer Viget Labs hosted iPhoneDevCampDC, an unconference about all things iPhone Apps (full photo set here). I went expressly to understand the latest hot, shiny object from a communicator’s perspective. How does this tactic fit into the mix?

One thing that’s important to note off the bat: It’s not a cheap thing to become universally available with your application. An iPhone app is operating system specific. It will not work well on Symbian, or Blackberry, or Windows Mobile, or any other operating system.

From a budgetary standpoint this is crucial: An Iphone App may cost $30,000 to develop, and the accompanying Blackberry App — even though it’s the exact same app with the same function and similar art — must be completely reprogrammed. That means it, too, will cost additional tens of thousands of dollars.

In turn, those who don’t have a wide ranging mobile interactive budget will need to select the platform that best serves its customer base. Enterprise users will slant towards Blackberry, consumer iPhone, international companies will want to consider Symbian, and who knows how Android will impact the market.

Generally speaking there are many reasons to deploy an application, iPhone or not:

  • To make money (warning, a highly competitive marketplace with low $ sales).
  • Ensuring your content, social network or services is easily accessible on a mobile platform.
  • To effectively market your product using a popular application.
  • Because the executive is demanding it. Unfortunately, shiny object syndrome seems to be an increasingly common reason, said several of the developers.

The iPhone app store itself is a highly competitive marketplace with tens of thousands of apps. You can no longer simply launch an application and expect it garner attention. Instead, you should be prepared to market it. To help, MobileCrunch’s Gagan Biyani gave a primer on pitching the press. In addition, pricing strategies are critical, with many developers relying a strong free app to attract paid purchases of higher dollar ($1.99 or more), feature-rich versions.

Some interesting statistics where given by TapMetrics’s Chris Brown:

  • English (94%) is used for the majority of iphone apps, followed by German, French, and Japanese.
  • 26% of apps are free, 41% of apps are $.99, 33% of apps are $1.99.
  • One person has 2024 apps in the store, or 3.15% of the iPhone app store.

Lastly, don’t be cheap on development. A flurry of negative user ratings can sink your application right out the door. In a competitive marketplace, you don’t have a lot of time to iron out bugs.