06
2008
Welcome to the Fifth Estate
A manifesto by Geoff Livingston
A great struggle has ensued with the ascent of new media. Audience members have become more than casual viewers of the show. Now they create their own commentary, and in extreme cases, rise above trade media to become just as influential. Content creators have become a force of their own, community members with a voice — not supplanting the media — but augmenting it. They have become the Fifth Estate.
In a comment on this blog, NYU Journalism Professor Jay Rosen wrote, "…people cannot be considered simply audience members anymore. Some of them are producers as well as consumers, and we need a new name for those people". Photo credit: Audience in Red by Felipe Trucco.
In marketing and PR circles, debates continue as to whether those that partake in social media (both content generators and casual readers) should be considered audiences, communities or just people! Ironically, this debate goes all the way back to the Cluetrain Manifesto and has superseded our own "inside the bubble conversation." Renowned author William Gibson told Wired in July, 2005:
Indeed, audience is as antique a term as record, the one archaically passive, the other archaically physical.
Unfortunately, much of the blogosphere dialogue deals with how to approach social media circles from a marketing perspective. This conversation does not address new media’s role and place within a larger integrated media picture. But why the Fifth Estate?
The Fifth Estate
The Fourth Estate - or the media — got its nickname by policing the governments of France and Great Britain in the late 18th and early 19th centuries. The French Estates General consisted of The First Estate of three hundred clergy, the Second Estate of three hundred nobles and the Third Estate of six hundred commoners. The media fulfilled a new role, providing their readership with more factual information about political events.
As a result, politicos were forced into a new level of accountability. Media became the fact provider, the great source of information beyond hype. When the politicians stepped out of line, the masses were informed, and protests, and in some cases, revolution ensued.
Since then, the Fourth Estate has grown to include broadcast media forms, too. In modern times, the fourth estate role has extended into all facets of life, from business reporting (for example, the HP Board Scandal) to entertainment (Britney). This painting is "Liberty Leading the People" by Eugène Delacroix.
Yet, the media has its own fallacies. PR execs swarm the traditional media to place stories, corporations and politicians alike employ spinners to ensure favorable coverage, and decreasing budgets have brought newsrooms with less and younger journalists. While still authoritative, the media no longer enjoys complete trust.
The Fifth Estate — citizen media — brings to bear unreported yet relevant news, and questions stated facts. Marshall University Professor Stephen D. Cooper proposed the Fifth Estate concept in his 2006 book, "Watching the Watchdog: Bloggers as the Fifth Estate." Cooper thought the new level of accountability caused by blogs was the emergence of a Fifth Estate in our social system. The blogosphere and, in my opinion, social network users keep the Fourth Estate honest.
Indeed, in some cases the media has welcomed social media, using it to augment its own research. Consider this recent Washington Post story on election coverage:
The popularity of blogs, YouTube and information databases such as LexisNexis, along with the 24-hour news cycle, has made it easier than ever for the media and rival campaigns to spot the mistakes and exaggerations of presidential candidates.
Lest critics point out that this phenomena is isolated to politics, two days later the Post published a similar article on how fan-generated media was driving sports stories. Here’s a snippet:
But in the arena of sports, the arbiter of what matters is increasingly shifting from the mainstream media to the freewheeling realm of the blogosphere, where impassioned fans opine about the playing field’s heroes, villains and controversies of the day.
Like the Fourth Estate, the role of the Fifth Estate has extended beyond politics to larger issues. Consider Charlene Li’s influential role in raising the flag on Beacon. Or how angry iPhone buyers blogged and commented, evoking– a prompt and immediate apology from one of America’s most powerful men, Steve Jobs. The examples continue on and on.
New Media Becomes Part of the Larger Mix
A forthcoming report from Deloitte reveals some very interesting statistical trends:
- 54% of Americans use social networking sites, chat rooms or message boards to socialize.
- 54% of those surveyed said they are creating their own entertainment content by editing photos, videos or music.
- 45% are making the content for others to see.
- 45% have a profile on a social networking site.
- 38% of Americans are watching TV shows online.
The Deloitte "State of Media Democracy" report holds the most bullish numbers I’ve seen to date. While they represent a sampling of the population (more than 2,000), the numbers are hard to deny. Other studies confirm the trend. eMarketer offers more conservative, but still very high usage numbers, estimated that 38% of the population uses social network sites regularly. An October Forrester study claimed that 60% of active web users look to blogs and user-generated media as "more trustworthy" than corporate web sites, press releases, etc.
We are at a point where the early adoption phase is over. The numbers are reaching the early majority range, according to Everett Rogers’ Diffusion of Innovations theory. There is no bubble to burst. People want conversational outlets as part of their larger media consumption. It’s undeniable that New Media Is Here To Stay. Diffusion bell curve image from K-Zero.
A manifesto by its very nature dictates intent of opinion or policy. This manifesto seeks to move the conversation from the validity of new media to how it fits within the larger spectrum of media forms.
That’s why the term the "Fifth Estate" works for me. By its very nature it empowers the community of people creating content, honoring them as an an estate holder. It moves beyond dialogue about whether people are worthy of having their voices heard or if they should simply be viewed as an audience. Instead, the Fifth Estate represents a place of earned stature.
At the same time, five follows four. My point is simple. It’s inevitable that sooner or later people will want to read news from an authority figure. New media does not have the professional quality that traditional media outlets have.
More often than not, while more personal and colorful in its commentary, user generated media lacks factual research. And some content creators are better than others in their efforts to be relevant. Many could not come close to influential as they are personal in nature, or are mired in rants and incomplete logic. That’s why regardless of how user-generated media evolves, there will always be a prominent role for traditional media.
The Consumer Reports and New York Times of the world seem ideally positioned to serve large communities with their professional, top-quality news reports. Indeed, since opening its online property, the New York Times has seen a dramatic jump in readership (source found though Conversation Agent).
Like all trends, the pendulum often swings one way and then whips back, continuing a see-saw rhythm until the happy median is struck. It’s likely that social media will continue to grow in influence, and that some traditional media outlets will fall to the way-side. Others will change to meet the times, and others will simply be the Economist, and in that sense, maintain their traditional integrity.
Both new and traditional media likely have shakeouts ahead of them. For example, some new media forms that gamble on eyeballs and have yet to (and may never) monetize will collapse. The content generator may simply grow weary.
At the same time, traditional media outlets that do not successfully generate online readership and advertising revenue to augment their dwindling print business will continue to shrink. In some cases like Business 2.0, they will fail.
Conclusion
Those that study media academically, professionally, or from a personal point of interest need to include new media within the larger analysis. How that picture looks is uncertain.
Mass communities like Facebook have already made their presence felt. On an individual basis, with the exception of major blogs like TechCrunch and Huffington Post, most new media outlets will reside in the Long Tail of media forms. Ultimately, analysis will be subject to the general public’s consumption trends. A fitting end to a debate full of pundits fighting over a crystal ball.
The continued interaction between the Fourth and Fifth Estate fascinates me. It’s apparent the two are becoming intrinsically tied. As major stories start generating groundswell in the blogosphere or in social networks, the media reacts. In essence, the community informs the media when a story reaches a level of importance. The Fifth Estate has become the ultimate source.
In a phone discussion with budding author Chris Heuer, it became apparent that one result is a new source for stories. Heuer said, “It’s really great. Because now with social media the media has more source material. Before they pretty much were limited to PR sources, the wires services, and police reports for story generation.”
While bloggers may not be accurate or factual, one could certainly say the same thing about spin issued from PR types. Perhaps the addition of the Fifth Estate creates a more composite picture.
Another aspect of the Fourth and Fifth Estate relationship, as noted by a three part series on journalism versus blogging, some journalists continue to blur the editorial lines and act like bloggers. This destruction of editorial "integrity" makes me cringe. How long can this continue before journalists sacrifice their authoritative position and simply become part of the Fifth Estate?


StumbleUpon - Your page is now on StumbleUpon! Says:
January 6th, 2008 at 4:04 pm
Jason Falls Says:
January 6th, 2008 at 4:11 pm
Brilliantly done, Geoff. I do believe, however, that your fourth and fifth estates will continue to blur lines between and become one. The way we treat social media must be different from traditional media only because traditional media hasn’t grown smart to new media’s way of doing business. Put a social media release in front of most media members (at least those under age 60) and they’ll salivate at the plethora of information. Treat social media like traditional and pay the price (thank you Chris Anderson).
It’s only a matter of time before the old guard catches up with the new guard and the estates are one again. Or I could be nuts … one of the two.
Business - Mixx Says:
January 6th, 2008 at 4:47 pm
Ike Says:
January 6th, 2008 at 4:52 pm
Geoff, this one will take a while to get my head wrapped around. Give me some time…
Geoff Livingston Says:
January 6th, 2008 at 5:43 pm
Thanks, Jason. I can see that as a possible outcome for the more relevant members of the fifth estate as well as the lesser members of the fourth. It will most definitely be some sort of gray line — as opposed to black and white.
The continued ascendancy of new media is certainly an amazing trend, and for me the question of how new and old fit together is an incredible dilemma. Certainly, we have more collective intelligence than me, and I hope that we can now work towards a meaningful conversation about integration.
And I look forward to Ike’s contribution to it.
One last footnote: “‘You can delay technology, but you can’t stop it.’ And that is true. For better or for worse, Web 2.0 participatory media is reshaping our intellectual, political and commercial landscape.” Andrew Keen, Cult of the Amateur, p. 185. Like it or hate it, it’s here. We just need to figure out how it integrates into the larger media landscape.
Kami Huyse Says:
January 6th, 2008 at 6:04 pm
One thing I find interesting is the sacrifice of journalistic principles. I will have a bit of a case study on that later this week, but suffice it to say that journalism, due to financial forces (shareholders now expect a return from news) and the need for speed to market, has made news and its reporting much more formulaic. Very few stories are researched in depth ala Bob Woodard. They don’t have th time or the resources. It is sad because the need for third-party credibility has never been more needed.
Jane Quigley Says:
January 6th, 2008 at 6:05 pm
I think that the 2007 moves by the New York Times and NBC and CBS news orgs are heralding approach of this new “estate”. I think that they were forced into adapting, but they are moving to do so (sometimes without clear strategy) at a very quick rate.
As Brian said in the “Now Is Gone” intro - “Engage or Die”. This is especially true in the context of “old” media.
Kathryn Jones Says:
January 6th, 2008 at 6:31 pm
This is the very issue that online video producers must grasp if we are ever going to “compete” with main stream media. It is the very interactivity of online communications that both frees us and distinguishes us… the challenge: how best to serve, involve, and inspire our co-creators/audience…
links for 2008-01-07 | The Straight Pitch Says:
January 6th, 2008 at 9:26 pm
[...] Welcome To The Fifth Estate: A Social Media Manifesto One of the pioneers of social media thinking, Geoff Livingston, poses the theory that social media is now a fifth estate and discusses the implications of its standing. An excellent read. (tags: socialmedia media bloggers philosophy) [...]
Lauren Vargas Says:
January 6th, 2008 at 9:45 pm
We feed the beast.
Nicely written.
John Frost Says:
January 7th, 2008 at 12:20 pm
Excellent. Are you going to submit this to ChangeThis.com?
Kyle Says:
January 8th, 2008 at 8:45 am
Well thought out and researched post Geoff.
In effect this post highlights exactly what you are talking about, the evolution and creation of the Fifth Estate. At the same time I actually see this type of post as the evidence of the blurring of lines between the 4th and 5th as Jason points out. Ultimately I do believe that the fifth estate is real, but that it’s greatest impact will be in changing the fourth estate to better respond to their original mission…it will become a simple matter of competitive survival.
When that occurs and the 4thies are properly back into the position of true watchdogs what then happens to the 5thites? Do a portion of them move up into 4thdom and the other remain or do they dissolve away? Yes; if they are smart the traditional media outlets look down to the 5th and grab the talent and shift themselves (already happening as you note). But what about the rest of us? I believe that we remain as a smaller and more focused 5th estate. We remain powerful in order to ensure that the 4th estate never falters again. Dramatic? A bit, but drama is often the catalyst for change.
Took me 24 hours but there it is ;)
/kff
Social Media as the Fifth Estate Says:
January 8th, 2008 at 10:05 am
[...] brilliant post from Geoff Livingston on new media becoming the Fifth Estate. Some of you have seen I Twittered about yesterday. Well I [...]
Astroturfing in the District of Corruption » The Buzz Bin Says:
January 14th, 2008 at 12:09 pm
[...] excellent report detailing another view of the fake news conference, an excellent example of the Fifth Estate at work). Some recent online examples: Target, Shelfari and [...]
Wikinomics » Blog Archive » The death of the newspaper: murder or suicide? Says:
January 25th, 2008 at 6:00 pm
Links de Quinta #01 | Peixe Fresco Says:
January 26th, 2008 at 11:38 am
[...] Welcome to the Fifth Estate - Geoff Livingston, do The Buzz Bin discute como a comunidade na internet pode ser considerada o quinto poder. Como as pessoas não são mais simplesmente audiência, cada vez mais elas têm voz ativa nas decisões à sua volta, e as outras esferas começam a temer o impacto de suas ações (ou ao menos deveriam). Nós, profissionais da comunicação, que devemos estar muito atentos a esse fato. [...]
Fifth Estate Trends Continue: Survival of the Fittest Newspapers » The Buzz Bin Says:
January 28th, 2008 at 6:56 am
[...] continuing trends outlined in the social media manifesto, “Welcome to the Fifth Estate,” the traditional media establishment continues to respond to social media adoption. Consider [...]
The Age and Influence of Social Media » The Buzz Bin Says:
January 30th, 2008 at 3:41 pm
[...] journalism and the fifth estate is creating an environment that pushes everyday people into roles as market influencers. Fast [...]
Now Is Gone » Becker Recommends the Book, with Some Stiff Criticism Says:
February 14th, 2008 at 11:06 pm
[...] And yes, the conversation has evolved. Though I was pleasantly surprised by how relevant a good portion of the text is. If written today instead of nine months ago, I would add more on measurement, blogger relations, more industry-specific social network communities, and additional information on the symbiotic relationship between traditional and new media. [...]
All Politics is Learning 2.0 | Mission to Learn Says:
February 17th, 2008 at 8:48 am
[...] above (though without the “Learning 2.0″ twist). Additionally, Geoff Livingston’s Welcome to the Fifth Estate manifesto on the same blog talks much more extensively about the impact on social media on [...]
Mumbo-Jumbo from Spin Thicket Says:
February 17th, 2008 at 7:47 pm
Phorum.gr • Î Ïοβολή θÎματος - ΟΙ ΜΑΣΩÎΟΙ ΠΛΑΣΑΡΟΥΠΕΠΙΣΗΜΩΣ ΤΟ "ΧΑΡΑΓΜΑ" ID CHILD Says:
February 27th, 2008 at 3:21 am
Social Media Breaking the Fourth Estate - Covering All That's Social All the Web Says:
March 7th, 2008 at 3:23 am
The MOMocrats Trump ABC with Barack Obama Interview » The Buzz Bin Says:
May 1st, 2008 at 10:21 am
[...] ABC debate was bad. Perhaps the fourth estate failed to serve its constituents. So what happened? In true Fifth Estate style, 22 Democratic mommy bloggers banned together to form the MOMocrats. MOMocrats asked the Democratic [...]
Social PR » The Buzz Bin Says:
May 29th, 2008 at 10:05 pm
[...] media to become 1) much more accountable to its readership and 2) extremely trend oriented. This fifth estate trend has also introduced a new level of dialogue between customers and the companies that serve [...]
When Your Newspaper Is Written by Interns » The Buzz Bin Says:
July 14th, 2008 at 9:54 am
[...] That the two — the Fourth and Fifth Estates — are becoming increasingly tied together in a symbiotic relationship. And that yes, you never should have wholly trusted your newspaper, and that’s even more true [...]
Social Media Cannot Stand Alone » The Buzz Bin Says:
August 8th, 2008 at 8:42 am
[...] do we integrate? Because, people read diverse media on and offline. They are intertwined, and thus compelling or influencing stakeholders requires intelligent use of traditional and new [...]
If I Were King | Citizen Voices Says:
August 13th, 2008 at 12:26 pm
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